Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.001077 0.001115 0.001154 0.001196 0.001241 0.001287 0.001338
2025-08-31 0.001023 0.001080 0.001140 0.001208 0.001282 0.001363 0.001456
2025-09-07 0.000975 0.001045 0.001121 0.001209 0.001310 0.001422 0.001558
2025-09-14 0.000928 0.001007 0.001094 0.001197 0.001319 0.001458 0.001633
2025-09-21 0.000886 0.000971 0.001066 0.001181 0.001320 0.001483 0.001694
2025-09-28 0.000855 0.000944 0.001047 0.001173 0.001328 0.001515 0.001764
2025-10-05 0.000812 0.000902 0.001007 0.001137 0.001300 0.001500 0.001771
2025-10-12 0.000788 0.000881 0.000990 0.001129 0.001304 0.001523 0.001829
2025-10-19 0.000771 0.000868 0.000982 0.001130 0.001319 0.001561 0.001908
2025-10-26 0.000750 0.000849 0.000967 0.001120 0.001320 0.001580 0.001960
2025-11-02 0.000737 0.000839 0.000961 0.001121 0.001334 0.001617 0.002040
2025-11-09 0.000721 0.000824 0.000949 0.001116 0.001339 0.001639 0.002100
2025-11-16 0.000703 0.000807 0.000934 0.001105 0.001336 0.001654 0.002150
2025-11-23 0.000698 0.000806 0.000939 0.001120 0.001371 0.001721 0.002286
2025-11-30 0.000688 0.000799 0.000936 0.001124 0.001389 0.001766 0.002391
2025-12-07 0.000674 0.000784 0.000923 0.001115 0.001387 0.001781 0.002449
2025-12-14 0.000658 0.000768 0.000907 0.001102 0.001379 0.001786 0.002489
2025-12-21 0.000646 0.000757 0.000897 0.001094 0.001380 0.001804 0.002553
2025-12-28 0.000624 0.000732 0.000869 0.001063 0.001343 0.001762 0.002507
2026-01-04 0.000613 0.000721 0.000859 0.001055 0.001342 0.001776 0.002562
2026-01-11 0.000606 0.000715 0.000855 0.001056 0.001353 0.001809 0.002656
2026-01-18 0.000596 0.000705 0.000845 0.001048 0.001350 0.001819 0.002706
2026-01-25 0.000589 0.000699 0.000842 0.001049 0.001361 0.001853 0.002806